Last minute Oscar predictions

Here's some last minute predictions, not the category-by-category kind, but some general observations:

• Babel and Dreamgirls will lead with 10 nominations each.
• Flags of Our Fathers will get more nominations than Letters From Iwo Jima, but Letters' will be in more significant categories.
• Pirates of the Caribbean 2 will get several technical nominations.
• Pan's Labyrinth will get several technical nominations too, in addition to a Best Foreign Film nomination.
• A documentary is going to get a nomination in a category other than Best Documentary Feature.
• There will be a record number of minorities nominated in the acting categories (I predict eight).